The Netherlands makes use of a system of threat levels indicating the chance of a terrorist attack in or against the Netherlands. The NCTV publishes the Terrorist Threat Assessment Netherlands (DTN) two times a year. Various factors are taken into account in the threat level assessment. In balancing all these factors, a conclusion can be drawn: the current threat level.
The Terrorist Threat Assessment Netherlands (DTN) is a general assessment of radicalization, extremism and of the national and international terrorist threat to the Netherlands and Dutch interests abroad. The assessment is a trend report in which the main threat developments are outlined. The DTN is primarily drawn up for the benefit of the administrative and political leadership and policy makers.
Information
The DTN is drawn up using the information of services services responsible for fighting terrorism and radicalisation. Information from publicly accessible sources, administrative sources and the NCTV’s own analyses is also used for this purpose.
Five threat levels
The threat level is the conclusion of the threat assessment. It captures in one word an estimate of the risk of an attack in or against the Netherlands. There are five levels of accumulating threat:
- Level 1: Minimal: It is unlikely that a terrorist attack will occur in the Netherlands.
- Level 2: Limited: There is a slight chance of a terrorist attack in the Netherlands.
- Level 3: Significant: A terrorist attack in the Netherlands is conceivable.
- Level 4: Substantial: There is a real chance of a terrorist attack in the Netherlands.
- Level 5: Critical: A terrorist attack in the Netherlands is imminent.
Current threat level: substantial
| DTN-number | Date of publication | Level |
|---|---|---|
| DTN present | June 2024 | Substantial |
| DTN december 2023 - present | December 2023 | Substantial |
| DTN 51 - 58 | December 2019 | Significant |
| DTN 32 - 50 | March 2013 | Substantial |
| DTN 19 - 31 | November 2009 | Limited |
| DTN 12 - 18 | March 2008 | Substantial |
| DTN 8 - 11 | March 2007 | Limited |
| DTN 1 - 7 | May 2005 | Substantial |
News

NCTV: rising number of young people radicalised online
The rapid radicalisation of young people online is a threat to national security. This was a key conclusion of the six-monthly ...
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NCTV: chance of an attack still real
There is a real chance of a terrorist attack in the Netherlands. The National Coordinator for Counterterrorism and Security ...
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Terrorist threat somewhat higher: possibility of an attack in the Netherlands is realistic
The terrorist threat has again increased somewhat over the past few months, due to factors including the war in Gaza, desecration ...
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Terrorist threat level raised to 'substantial'
The previous Terrorist Threat Assessment for the Netherlands (DTN) described a heightened terrorist threat due to the fact that ...
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NCTV’s Terrorist Threat Assessment 58: increased terrorist threat to the Netherlands
The terrorist threat to the Netherlands has increased over the past six months. There are more and more indications that jihadist ...
Read moreNCTV’s Terrorist Threat Assessment: threat in and to the Netherlands has become more multifaceted and diffuse
There are currently no specific indications that radicalised individuals are preparing an attack. However, there are individuals ...
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